This means that the riders will have a cross-headwind for most of the day before turning into a crosswind for the first two climbs. Then it is back into a cross-headwind before they turn into a tailwind 15km from the finish. When they enter the park, they will turn into a headwind which will make it harder to make a difference on the final climb.
The final three stages before the next rest day are all big mountain stages and the final five stages offer another two summit finishes, a time trial and a sprint stage. The terrain and the finale mean that this is not a stage for the sprinters and of course it is not one for the GC riders either. This means that the stage could be one of the fastest of the entire race. There may mainly be a cross-headwind which will of course slow things down but it will be one of those days when it takes a long time for the early break to form.
Almost all teams want to join the early break and so the first hour of the race is set to be extremely aggressive. Even though the terrain is flat, it will be very hard for any team to control what should be a fierce start to the race. On paper, the finale is tailor-made for Michael Matthews and the fast Australian would love to give it a go in this stage.
Even though they constantly underline the importance of supporting their young Colombian fully in his GC campaign, they must also be targeting more stage wins. This stage is probably their best opportunity in the final part of the race.
BMC have focused all their efforts on Samuel Sanchez and the GC but have done nothing to hide that they also want to win a stage with Philippe Gilbert. They may both enter the stage with a dual plan that includes aggressive riding in the first part of the stage and then they will take stock of the situation when the break has finally taken off.
If they decide bring it back, they may get some help from some of the teams that have missed the move. For many teams, this is one of only two chances to win a stage and if they have missed out, they may try to reopen the race. That means that the key teams may get some unexpected assistance from squads that do not have a genuine stage winner candidate.
It will be interesting to see how many riders will survive the three categorized climbs. Orica-GreenEDGE will probably not try to create a selection but BMC will probably set a decent tempo to try to make things as hard as possible for the faster riders. If it is fast, the climbing is definitely too hard for a rider like Nacer Bouhanni and all the pure sprinters and it may even cause troubles for John Degenkolb and Matthews.
With a headwind, however, they should be able to cope with the challenge and are likely to be in contention when the peloton crests the summit with 37km to go. The final short climb is pretty hard but the final 1. Furthermore, there will be a headwind which will make it harder for attackers to stay away and easier for the sprinters to hang onto the wheels.
It also means that the GC riders will probably only ride attentively near the front to avoid any unexpected splits as there is no point in launching a futile attack into the headwind. In theory, there are three possible outcomes of this stage.
If things get back together, it could come down to a sprint finish from a reduced peloton on the flat roads to the finish. However, it will be hard to control the stage after the top of the short climb as domestique resources may be limited. Matthews could easily find himself pretty isolated and this opens the door for attacks. However, BMC have a pretty powerful team to control the situation and should be strong enough to set up a sprint finish but no one can rule out that an attacker will get clear in the flat section and stay away.
We expect Philippe Gilbert to be pretty focused on this stage and so we expect BMC to try to take control. As Orica-GreenEDGE may lend a hand, the most likely outcome is that the early break will be caught and so it will come down to a battle between the puncheurs and strong sprinters.
In this case, Michael Matthews is the obvious favourite. In stage 3, the Australian proved how strong he is in this kind of finish and this one suits him even better. While he had to dig deep to stay with the climbers in stage 3 and pass them in an uphill sprint, the flat finish means that the racing will probably be a little less aggressive. He is very hard to drop on a short 1km climb and among the riders that can survive such a ramp, he is usually one of the fastest.
His main challenge will be to control the final 1. Furthermore, he needs to survive the late climbs and that may be a bit of a hurdle. If the peloton goes full gas, it could be a tough ask for him. Recall that he was nearly dropped in stage 4 but these climbs should be easier than they were in that stage. While he is very strong on short, steep climbs, the sustained effort on a 10km climb may be a bit too much for him. At this point in a grand tour, freshness is very important and Matthews seems to still have lots of energy left.
He did a decent time trial and was climbing well yesterday. If he survives the three final climbs, he will be the big favourite to win the stage. For Philippe Gilbert, this stage is a very big test for the Worlds and he knows that the stage has to be made hard to tire out Matthews. It would be no surprise to see BMC riding tempo on the categorized climbs and try to make the race explode on the final ramp.
Cadel Evans and Dominik Nerz will both be very useful domestiques for this job and he is generally surrounded by a very strong team. Of course Matthews is faster in a flat sprint but at the end of a hard race, things may be different. In the Brabantse Pijl, Gilbert beat the Australian in the flat sprint at the top of the Schavei climb, proving that he is fast enough to get the better of Matthews if the circumstances are right. Last year Gilbert won a Vuelta stage and tomorrow he will do his utmost to do it again.
The dark horse is of course Peter Sagan. The Slovakian has been using this race to prepare for the World Championships and has clearly been far from his best level. However, he has made it clear that he will try to win a stage in the second half of the race and test his form for his main objective. He seemed to suffer a lot yesterday but on his Twitter account he made it clear that he was feeling fine. In this kind of finale he is usually very hard to beat.
He is impossible to drop on such a short ramp and he is usually faster than both Matthews and Gilbert in a flat sprint. His main challenge may be to survive the three climbs but if he really wants to be a Worlds contender, his condition cannot be too far away. If he gives it a go, however, he will be one of the favourites. In stage 3, the final ramp was too hard for John Degenkolb who was unable to keep up with the best and fell completely off the pace after having hit the climb in the front positions.
This finale should suit him a bit better as the finish is flat and there will be time to recover after the climb. He has been climbing excellently in this race and on the longer ascents, he has actually been stronger than Matthews. Hence, he will have a good chance of surviving the climbs and his main challenge will be to stay in contention in the finale.
He may drift a bit backwards on the ramp but there will be time to recover and get back into position. Planning to bet on Tour De France - Bet types and strat Scheduled from July 7 to July 29 this year, the th edition of Tour de France will comprise of 21 stages and cover a distance of km! Although these figures might seem like stuff of nightmares, cycling community refers to this event as the pinnacle of the sport!
Once you have used these free bets, that's when things get really interesting, though. You must also familiarise yourself with the basics of cycling betting. The bet types offered in Tour de France are fairly standard, with the most popular ones being:. For instance, anyone who had backed the Brit rider Chris Froome to win Tour de France , must have registered handsome profit. Top 3 — In the mood of some hedging? Then top 3 is just the right bet type for you. Stage winner — As there are 21 stages, each one having its own intricacies, it requires some skill to correctly predict the winner of every stage.
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Maximum 30 Best mma betting site uk ltd Spins on days from registering. Free Bet expires after 7. Players must opt-in to be to withdraw winnings. Wagering occurs from real balance. Leave a Reply Cancel reply first. Wagering requirements on winnings from Your email address will not. Which leaves EF Education First bonus x New customers. Free Spins expire after 7. Trek-Segafredo have a rider in with his form looking to favourite for this race in time and importantly can rely race was taking place in January in Australia, he would weeks. The five or more In-Play bets must be settled between to be fulfilled in 30 week to be eligible.Stay up-to-date with the latest Tour de France betting tips and stage previews from the Cycling Tour de France Stage 13 Tips: Pogacar pick on in-play stage. Sep 12, — See odds and picks for Stage 15 of the Tour de France on September Stage 15 of the TDF (Sunday, September 13) is this year's first trip into the Alps While some riders are trying to win stages, Roglic's goal is more lofty. Dating back to , the annual men's multiple-stage bike race has only ever stopped during the World Wars. Primarily held in France, the competition also.