Week 4 had the highest average total in a single week in the past 35 seasons according to our database. The totals have been on the rise every week, but scoring has still outpaced them. This is the first season in the Super Bowl era in which games have averaged over 50 points per game for the first four weeks. The majority of games have gone over every week, despite the average total rising each week.
Seven Week 4 games had totals in the 50s. The previous record for totals in the 50s in a single week, in our database since , was five in Week 4 of Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons Eleven of the last 14 meetings went under the total. Atlanta has lost eight of its last 13 games as a favorite outright including both this year. Pittsburgh won that game Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans It's just the second time it's happened in the last 10 seasons.
Last year, Washington won but failed to cover as 6-point favorites at Miami. Arizona Cardinals They are failing to cover games by The last time Arizona laid more than seven points on the road was Week 12 of Philadelphia Eagles at Pittsburgh Steelers -7 , 1 p. Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers , p. New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys -9 , p. That's tied for the second-highest over percentage in the NFL over that span.
Each of Dallas' last three games went over by at least 12 points That's the best cover percentage vs. That's the best road cover percentage in the NFL over that span. Indianapolis Colts -1 at Cleveland Browns , p. Under Reich, the under is when Indianapolis covers and the over is in all other games when it doesn't cover, in pushes.
Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks However, he is outright and ATS in Sunday night games. Brees is also ATS at home over the past 10 seasons. He is only ATS in Monday night home games, but those games are to the over. Skip to navigation.
NFL Week 5 betting nuggets. Kansas City Chiefs. You may be surprised to know Washington sits right behind them at No. The 'Skins have allowed the second-fewest points per game as they have gotten off to a start. Granted, they had a Week 1 matchup with the Cardinals, who are the only NFL team to have not scored 20 points in a game yet, but a strong home win over the Packers spoke volumes.
Middle linebacker Mason Foster has been a monster 27 tackles , safety D. Swearinger is making plays two interceptions, four passes defended and cornerback Quinton Dunbar is tied with Swearinger for the team lead in passes defended.
While it's impossible to shut down their Week 5 opponent entirely, the 'Skins could slow them down a la the Browns in Week 2 New Orleans scored 21 that afternoon. Getting six points in this matchup is too enticing to pass up. Although the Cardinals fell to the Seahawks in Week 4, one encouraging sign rose from that game.
In particular, the team used running back David Johnson more frequently. The NFL's leader in yards from scrimmage in only touched the ball 44 times through three weeks, but he had 22 carries for 71 yards and a touchdown in addition to three catches for 41 yards on Sunday. He's Arizona's best offensive player and should be treated as such with a heavy touch and target volume. Quarterback Josh Rosen also had a respectable showing in his first start, completing 15 of 27 passes for yards and a touchdown.
Arizona is playing a 49ers team that has dealt with an inordinate amount of injuries. Of note, 14 players are on the injury report , including left tackle Joe Staley, cornerback Richard Sherman and right tackle Mike McGlinchey, all of whom are questionable. Wideout Dante Pettis has been ruled out. It's a close game to call straight-up, but with the Cardinals receiving three-and-a-half points, give the edge to Arizona against the spread.
Sportsbooks are divided on the Broncos at Jets line, which is either Jets minus a point or even. Regardless, it's clear bettors are bearish on Gang Green as their offense has scored just 41 points in their last three games. They also just allowed passing yards to Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles in a loss and yards to Mayfield in two-plus quarters.
Meanwhile, the Broncos are coming off a strong performance against the Chiefs in which they led in the fourth quarter but allowed two late touchdowns in a loss. Denver has lived on the edge all season with three games of four-point deficits or fewer. The Broncos have a day less of rest than the Jets and must travel cross-country for a 1 p. The guess is the line shift foreshadows a Denver win.
Do you think sharp bettors are confident that the Falcons-Steelers game will be a shootout? Neither team has much hope stopping the other Sunday. The Falcons will be sans four defensive starters from Week 1. The Steelers defense hasn't been the same since leader and star linebacker Ryan Shazier suffered a serious spinal injury last season. On the other side, the Falcons offense just dropped points in the team's last three games, while the Steelers offense which is hit-or-miss thus far has excellent pass-catching talent in Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster.
It's hard to envision a scenario in which either defense takes over. It wouldn't be too surprising to see this line climb a little bit more prior to kickoff. After scoring just 10 points in the season opener, the Lions offense has sprung to life with Running back Kerryon Johnson has 5. Second-year pro Kenny Golladay sports a The offensive line has also kept quarterback Matthew Stafford upright, as the team has an adjusted sack rate of 4.
As good as the offense has been of late, the other side of the ball is a work in progress. In particular, the Lions run defense allows 5. That could be an issue against Packers running back Aaron Jones, who has yards and a touchdown on just 17 carries so far. Green Bay employs a three-man running back committee, but the team would be wise to run Jones often against the Lions defense. Through the air, future Hall of Fame quarterback Aaron Rodgers will be missing Randall Cobb but may have wideouts Davante Adams and Geronimo Allison, who are trying to return from a calf injury and a concussion, respectively.
The Browns struggled defensively in a overtime loss to the Raiders on Sunday, but the guess here is that game was an exception, not the rule. Cleveland still has excellent talent up front led by end Myles Garrett 4. They should help the Browns shut down a Ravens rushing offense that has not executed well this year 3. On the other side, Baltimore has been lights-out for three of four games the lone exception being a loss to the Bengals. In their three wins, the Ravens have allowed just 31 points.
The Browns offense has strong potential with Mayfield running the show, but it may need some time to jell given that he's led the team for just six-plus quarters. This has the feel of a classic, ugly AFC North battle where neither team gets much going on offense.
The under wins here. That ranking jumps to third when considering passing plays only, and that could be an issue for a Chargers pass defense that has struggled all year sans Pro Bowl edge-rusher Joey Bosa, who is out with a foot injury. The Bolts have allowed the fourth-most yards per pass attempt 8. If the Raiders' success rate continues, they could be in line for numerous explosive plays. In fairness, it's hard to see the Bolts offense slowing down against a Raiders defense that is in the bottom 10 in pass- and run-defense efficiency, per Football Outsiders.
But this could be a de facto home game for Oakland in StubHub Center, which has been filled with fans of the opposing team since the Chargers moved from San Diego in In fact, Sam Fortier of The Athletic reported that the Bolts are practicing with piped-in crowd noise.
This has the makings of a back-and-forth shootout, but the slight edge goes to Oakland thanks to its efficient offense and potential home game on the road. The Bills defense has allowed just 31 points and three touchdowns in their last 10 quarters. It's one thing if Buffalo played poor offenses, but the team slowed down the Chargers for two quarters , Vikings and Packers, all of whom have excellent offensive talent.
The Titans don't fit that bill. The passing game has been hit-or-miss, but in fairness, Tennessee is without No.
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